Volatility and dependence in energy markets
نویسندگان
چکیده
We use a semiparametric GARCH-in-Mean copula model to examine the price evolution and volatility dynamics of crude oil, natural gas, hydrocarbon gas liquids markets using data from January 2002 December 2021. find that uncertainty has positive statistically significant effect on returns oil but negative ethane returns. also Frank is best describe (bivariate) dependence structures between markets, except for relationship butane where Clayton most fitted copula. It suggests weak lower upper tail exists energy returns, there butane. In other words, extremely low prices are associated with liquids, vice versa. When go down, excess comovement in Moreover, strongest gas.
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Economics and Finance
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1055-0925', '1938-9744']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12197-022-09609-4